precious metals market

Is Silver Headed To $5/oz?

Is Jason Hommel saying silver is headed to $5 per ounce?

I don’t think so. Hommel is just kidding.

In fact, he says, there is no explanation for the drop in silver and gold prices, other than the standard “manipulation” by the banks who trade in futures contracts.

CashThe oceans of currency being printed by the US are not yet flowing to silver. But they will, and then silver prices will rise sharply.

Interest rates have been manipulated for years now, and because it would be lunacy to bankrupt American business, they cannot be allowed to rise to compete with gains in the precious metals market in order to stop the bull market in gold and silver.

The bond market is huge—in the $20 to $50 trillion range. If interest rates rise, bond values go down. In a collapsing bond market, bond investors will move to protect their trillions, and opt for gold and silver.

The world’s central banks and Western governments cannot let markets naturally purge themselves, as the markets are too grotesquely out of balance and mismatched in size.

But they can’t keep interest rates low forever, either, because real rates are now negative, with interest rates well below the real inflation rate. People are being paid to borrow money: That is uneconomic, and unsustainable.

Imagine if interest rates went over 20% like the last time they were allowed to rise, in 1980, to contain gold prices. Seventeen trillion dollars in debt financed at 20% would be something like $4 trillion per year in debt payments alone.

That kind of currency printing to pay bondholders would be highly inflationary, driving silver prices well beyond $1,000 per ounce. Thus, the bull market in gold and silver is far from over.

Hommel expects silver to head past $75 in the next year or two. Now is the time to sell bonds, real estate, and currencies, and buy silver. Buy on the dip, while you still can.

Read the complete article here.

This Weeks Silver Takedown Great Opportunity to Buy

One of my favorite sources for information about the economy, the markets, and especially the precious metals market is the Financial Sense Newshour with Jim Puplava who hosted a special series of interviews this week in response to the Leap Year “take-down” of gold and silver on February 29th of this week.

John Doody sees gold stocks as very undervalued and believes it’s the best buying opportunity since 2008. Kathryn Derbes sees a silent army of buyers placing physical gold and silver in stronger hands, as physical metals buying becomes more intense. David Morgan sees paper shorts losing control over the silver market, and also believes the gold/silver ratio will drop from 50 to 35 this year, favoring silver over gold.

At one point during Wednesday’s trading, gold was down more than $100, while silver was trading down $3. Both metals have since recovered approximately 30 percent due to bargain hunters stepping in at the sub-$1,700 and sub-$34 levels, respectively, in the gold and silver markets.

Eric Sprott told King World News that a staggering 500 million ounces of paper silver traded hands during the takedown in the metals this week. Eric Sprott, Chairman of Sprott Asset Management, had this to say about what took place the day of the plunge in gold and silver:

“I can only imagine it’s the same forces that for the last twelve years have been at work in the gold market, trying to keep the volatility very large on the downside. As you are aware, we hardly ever get days when you get an intraday $100 rise in gold. When we look back at what happened (on Wednesday) we saw huge sell orders in gold and silver.”

Eric Sprott continues:

“When I look at the silver market in particular, in a 30 minute span we had sellers of 225 million equivalent paper ounces, in a market that in one year the silver miners only produce 800 million ounces. So again, it’s the paper markets overwhelming the physical market. It’s stunning to me that on a day like Feb. 29th we traded 500 million ounces of silver.”

Manipulation of Gold and Other Precious Metals

The following is excerpted from a longer article by Alex Newman called Fed Manipulations in the Crosshairs.

Whistleblowers, and even some government officials, are now taking aim at “irregularities” in the precious-metals market being orchestrated by the banking cartel and its government allies.

An ex-Goldman Sachs employee and veteran metals trader in London shocked the world in April when he went public with startling allegations. “JPMorgan acts as an agent for the Federal Reserve; they act to halt the rise of gold and silver against the US dollar. JPMorgan is insulated from potential losses [on their short positions] by the Fed and/or the US taxpayer,” Andrew Maguire told the New York Post. After sharing information with government investigators and accurately predicting events in the metals market, Maguire was supposed to testify before the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). However, a few days after his identity was revealed, Maguire and his wife were struck and injured by a car in a hit-and-run accident. Details about any investigations into the event have not been made public yet, sparking a tornado of conspiracy theories.

The CFTC did hold a hearing on precious-metals market manipulation nevertheless, which included other speakers with similarly powerful accusations, including the Gold Anti-Trust Action (GATA) Committee’s Bill Murphy. He told The New American that GATA tried to find out what role the Fed was playing in the gold markets, but his FOIA request for information about the Fed’s “gold-swap” agreements was denied. The organization then filed a lawsuit against the central bank in federal court. “[The Fed] came back and said they didn’t have to tell us anything — that they were exempt from telling us and that it was secret information,” he said in a telephone interview. “So then, we filed a suit in District Court in Washington to compel them to give us the information.” The suit is in progress, and GATA has high hopes for it.

Murphy said his organization wants to find out exactly what the Fed and the Treasury have done with America’s gold. “It’s the people’s gold, not their gold,” he said. The manipulation of gold prices is very serious and is part of the U.S. “strong dollar policy,” Murphy explained, pointing to the relationship between gold and interest rates.

“By suppressing the gold price, they can keep the dollar stronger than it would be and keep interest rates less than they would have been,” he said, noting that this manipulation played a pivotal role in the current economic meltdown. “What happens is every time gold prices soar, what do you hear? Too much inflation? Crisis? It’s always bad for the Wall Street crowd and the incumbent politicians.… If the gold price had been allowed to trade freely, interest rates wouldn’t have been kept too low for too long,” and the natural warning system would have kicked in.

Jeff Christian, founder of CPM Group, a trading firm dealing mostly with commodities, also spoke at the CFTC meeting. In his testimony, he revealed that bullion banks had leveraged their physical metals by as much as 100 to 1, essentially selling 100 times the amount of actual bullion they possessed, a fraudulent process known as “naked short selling.” Morgan Stanley was sued for similarly fraudulent activities in 2007 by clients who were led to believe that the institution had purchased and stored bullion on their behalf. The clients even paid storage fees, only to discover later that their alleged bullion did not even exist. Morgan Stanley settled the multi-million dollar class-action suit “to avoid the cost and distraction of continued litigation,” it claimed in a statement.

The allegations of gold price suppression seem to have been confirmed by the Fed itself. “Central banks stand ready to lease gold in increasing quantities, should the price of gold rise,” then-Fed boss Alan Greenspan told the House Banking Committee in 1998. In other words, if gold prices go up, the central bank will make sure they come back down.

Even before Greenspan’s infamous admission, a “confidential” Fed document dated April 5, 1961, available in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’ archives, revealed the central bank’s hand in the metals market. “Monetary authorities in the United States … have maintained the stability (and primacy) of the dollar in the international currency structure by standing ready to buy gold from, and sell it to, foreign monetary authorities who either need or acquire dollars for exchange purposes,” reads the paper, entitled “U.S. Foreign Exchange Operations: Needs and Methods.” The minutes from Fed “Open Market Committee” meetings showed the central bankers jubilantly admitting that even mentioning a possible gold sale would drive the price down.

The manipulation process today works something like this: When gold goes up in value relative to Federal Reserve Notes (what Americans today call “dollars”) and other fiat currencies, the central bank “leases” out some of its holdings to other institutions at a relatively low interest rate. These firms then sell the borrowed gold, driving down the price of the metal relative to fiat money. The companies then invest the cash into other assets with a higher rate of return, allowing the Fed to keep gold prices down while providing banks with an opportunity to earn more money.

The scheme involves a number of other players too. “It’s not only bullion banks like Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase and HSBC, but also — we call it a gold cartel — it’s also the Fed, the Treasury, the U.S. government, and the [central] Bank of England,” Murphy explained, adding that some of the conspirators had likely broken laws and probably belonged in jail. The suspicions have also been recently confirmed by whistleblowers within the system.

But despite the deliberate suppression of gold and precious-metals prices, their value continues to rise as the Fed adds trillions of new dollars to the money supply. “Gold measures the value of currencies. And right now gold is telling us, in spite of the fact that the gold price is rigged by central banks and various entities, gold is telling us that the dollar is in danger — great danger,” explained Fed foe Representative Ron Paul during a recent interview with CNBC. “We’re in worse shape than we were in the 70s, and it was rather chaotic then. So we’re moving into a very dangerous era according to what the gold price is telling us.”

The manipulative system remains intact. But there are signs that some minimal government action is finally being taken regarding manipulation of metals and commodities markets. The CFTC recently slapped multi-million-dollar fines on Morgan Stanley and a large hedge fund for just such activities. Various news reports also claim the Department of Justice’s anti-trust division is investigating alleged silver price manipulation by JP Morgan Chase.